Pego vs El Campello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ALG
0 - 5
PEG
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PEG
2 - 0
POL
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 2
PEG
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PEG
2 - 2
ORB
49%
23%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
PEG
2 - 0
REA
37%
24%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
El Campello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 0
GOR
40%
21%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
UDO
3 - 0
CAM
44%
22%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 3
RAF
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
XER
0 - 1
CAM
43%
23%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CAM
4 - 1
BEN
27%
20%
53%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |