Pego vs Contestano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PRO
4 - 1
PEG
58%
21%
21%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PEG
1 - 2
FON
48%
23%
28%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SIA
3 - 1
PEG
20%
20%
60%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
PEG
2 - 0
RAC
38%
25%
38%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 1
PEG
24%
22%
53%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
UEM
0 - 0
CTS
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CTS
5 - 5
ALG
82%
12%
7%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CTS
4 - 1
SPO
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UDC
1 - 1
CTS
30%
25%
46%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PRO
0 - 0
CTS
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |