Pego vs Contestano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 3
PEG
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 2
PEG
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PEG
2 - 1
POR
46%
25%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 2
PEG
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PEG
3 - 0
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
CTS
3 - 2
BEN
15%
18%
68%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ORB
2 - 3
CTS
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CTS
5 - 2
SIM
47%
22%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
REA
0 - 2
CTS
15%
21%
65%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CTS
3 - 0
OCF
48%
22%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |