Pego vs Contestano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
RAF
2 - 0
PEG
14%
20%
66%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
TOU
2 - 1
PEG
16%
20%
64%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PEG
2 - 0
BEN
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
JAV
0 - 0
PEG
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PEG
0 - 0
LAL
80%
14%
6%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 1
CTS
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
UDC
2 - 1
CTS
53%
23%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CTS
2 - 6
LAL
63%
20%
18%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ENG
4 - 2
CTS
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CTS
3 - 1
LOL
29%
23%
48%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |