Pego vs Contestano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
3 - 0
PEG
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PEG
2 - 1
LAL
10%
18%
72%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
TAV
3 - 2
PEG
84%
12%
5%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PEG
1 - 2
DEN
11%
21%
68%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 1
PEG
33%
26%
41%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CTS
1 - 1
CDA
53%
24%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
UDC
1 - 1
CTS
57%
23%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CTS
3 - 0
CAL
32%
23%
46%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
5 - 2
CTS
19%
21%
60%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
LLO
1 - 2
CTS
23%
25%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |