Pego vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
CAN
1 - 0
PEG
39%
29%
32%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
PEG
1 - 1
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1989 |
BEN
2 - 0
PEG
70%
20%
10%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
PEG
0 - 1
OND
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
PEG
4 - 0
SAG
69%
20%
12%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
ASP
1 - 0
RAC
48%
26%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
BUR
2 - 0
ASP
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1989 |
ASP
0 - 1
ALA
43%
27%
31%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
ALI
0 - 2
ASP
48%
27%
26%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
BEN
0 - 2
ASP
46%
26%
28%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |