Pego vs Calpe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
55.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
JAV
2 - 0
PEG
69%
19%
12%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
PEG
0 - 2
TAV
19%
21%
61%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
PEG
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PEG
0 - 0
SFF
33%
25%
42%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
GAN
2 - 0
PEG
73%
17%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 0
CAL
45%
24%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
RAC
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
DEN
2 - 1
CAL
25%
23%
53%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 1
PED
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |