Pego vs Calpe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
48.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
OLI
4 - 2
PEG
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
PEG
6 - 1
CTS
24%
25%
51%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
3 - 0
PEG
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PEG
2 - 1
LAL
10%
18%
72%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
TAV
3 - 2
PEG
84%
12%
5%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 0
CDA
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
UDC
0 - 4
CAL
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LLO
4 - 1
CAL
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -3 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 2
OLI
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CTS
3 - 0
CAL
32%
23%
46%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |