Pego vs Benicassim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
VAL
2 - 0
PEG
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
PEG
1 - 0
TCF
47%
26%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
CAT
3 - 1
PEG
41%
28%
31%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
PEG
3 - 1
ALI
55%
22%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ELD
2 - 0
PEG
59%
24%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Benicassim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
BEN
0 - 2
DEN
26%
24%
50%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
ACE
2 - 3
BEN
38%
25%
38%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
BEN
0 - 1
OND
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 2
BEN
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
BEN
3 - 1
SPO
28%
26%
47%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +3 |