Pego vs UD Alzira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
PEG
0 - 0
ALC
40%
28%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
SPO
0 - 0
PEG
30%
28%
43%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
PEG
1 - 1
TOR
51%
26%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
ELD
0 - 1
PEG
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
PEG
3 - 2
OLI
41%
28%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
ALZ
1 - 0
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
TOR
2 - 3
ALZ
67%
20%
14%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
ALZ
1 - 1
ELD
13%
25%
62%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
OLI
0 - 2
ALZ
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
ALZ
1 - 1
BUR
17%
27%
56%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |