Pego vs Alginet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
UEG
1 - 3
PEG
25%
24%
52%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PEG
1 - 1
UDC
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
UDO
1 - 0
PEG
13%
19%
68%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PEG
6 - 1
RAF
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
XER
0 - 1
PEG
13%
19%
68%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Alginet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
UDC
2 - 1
ALG
18%
22%
60%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALG
2 - 1
POR
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ALG
5 - 1
CFC
92%
6%
2%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
UDC
3 - 1
ALG
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ALG
3 - 0
UEG
54%
23%
23%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |