Pego vs Alginet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
65.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FCC
3 - 0
PEG
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PEG
0 - 0
CAT
52%
25%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TAV
4 - 1
PEG
43%
26%
30%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PEG
0 - 1
LLO
46%
25%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
JAV
1 - 0
PEG
32%
28%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alginet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ALG
3 - 2
CTS
79%
14%
8%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SDS
1 - 2
ALG
22%
24%
54%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 0
REC
76%
16%
9%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 2
CHE
85%
11%
5%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 4
ALG
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |