Pego vs Alginet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PEG
3 - 3
ENG
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LLO
1 - 2
PEG
37%
26%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
PEG
1 - 4
ALB
20%
24%
56%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BEN
4 - 1
PEG
64%
21%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PEG
0 - 3
MUR
39%
26%
35%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alginet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ALG
5 - 0
LLO
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ALB
2 - 0
ALG
66%
20%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
ALG
1 - 0
BEN
32%
25%
43%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MUR
4 - 0
ALG
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ALG
1 - 4
CDT
51%
24%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |