Pego vs Alcàsser analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SDS
1 - 3
PEG
55%
23%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PEG
3 - 1
ENG
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
JAV
0 - 1
PEG
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
PEG
3 - 2
TAV
33%
25%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
PEG
32%
25%
44%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alcàsser
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ALC
2 - 2
PED
10%
16%
75%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TAV
2 - 2
ALC
88%
9%
4%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 1
UDC
14%
20%
66%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 4
REC
11%
19%
70%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
UDQ
0 - 0
ALC
56%
23%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |