Pego vs Alberic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PEG
1 - 1
UDC
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ALG
2 - 3
PEG
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 3
PEG
38%
23%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
PEG
1 - 3
CTS
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 3
PEG
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 1
ALG
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
UEM
1 - 4
ALB
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
LOL
4 - 0
ALB
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 2
PRO
52%
23%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
ALB
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |