Pegaso At. vs Movera A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
53.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pegaso At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PEG
5 - 1
RHI
55%
21%
25%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ABI
1 - 2
PEG
37%
23%
41%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PEG
4 - 1
NIC
46%
22%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
PEG
47%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PEG
1 - 1
ERO
48%
22%
31%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Movera A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MOL
2 - 3
MOV
28%
22%
51%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MOV
3 - 1
RAN
41%
22%
37%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
MOV
3 - 0
MON
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RCA
1 - 4
MOV
63%
18%
19%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MOV
2 - 2
RIH
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |