Pegaso At. vs Monzalbarba A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
43.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pegaso At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AVA
5 - 0
PEG
38%
24%
38%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PEG
3 - 1
SAN
49%
23%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MOV
0 - 0
PEG
50%
22%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Monzalbarba A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MON
8 - 0
MOL
39%
23%
37%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RAN
4 - 1
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MON
3 - 4
RCA
53%
22%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |