Pedras Salgadas vs Monção analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
10º
10º
26
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 97.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pedras Salgadas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PED
0 - 0
AMA
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
PED
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PED
1 - 1
DUM
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PEV
3 - 1
PED
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PED
3 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
SMA
15%
20%
66%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AMA
4 - 2
MON
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 4
VIL
26%
22%
52%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
MON
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
VIA
15%
19%
67%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +1 |