Peña Compadres vs Velez Rubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
57.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Compadres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 4
AZN
36%
24%
41%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
CDC
3 - 3
PEN
44%
24%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 0
PEN
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 3
CAR
39%
24%
37%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 4
LEP
37%
24%
39%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Velez Rubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
VLZ
3 - 1
BAD
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
VLZ
2 - 3
PTO
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
AGU
2 - 1
VLZ
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CDL
2 - 0
VLZ
15%
21%
64%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
VLZ
2 - 2
COI
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |