Peña Compadres vs Velez Rubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Compadres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CHU
6 - 1
PEN
39%
24%
37%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 3
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
PEN
37%
24%
40%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 0
CDR
43%
25%
33%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 2
PEN
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Velez Rubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
PTO
1 - 5
VLZ
63%
20%
18%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
VLZ
1 - 3
CHU
44%
25%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 0
VLZ
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
VLZ
2 - 0
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CDR
4 - 0
VLZ
54%
23%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |