Peña Compadres vs Guaro Atletic Ass. Dva. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.9%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+120%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Compadres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MLL
3 - 1
PEN
19%
18%
63%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 1
CAN
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
OSO
1 - 4
PEN
9%
12%
79%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 3
BAN
65%
17%
18%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
PEN
40%
22%
38%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Guaro Atletic Ass. Dva.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UDE
0 - 0
GUA
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 3
MLL
28%
21%
51%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 1
GUA
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
OSO
43%
21%
37%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 2
GUA
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |