Peña Compadres vs CD Guadalmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
9.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+120%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Compadres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
COS
0 - 5
PEN
8%
12%
81%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
PEN
5 - 3
CES
66%
17%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CDM
3 - 5
PEN
13%
15%
72%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
UDE
1 - 8
PEN
10%
14%
77%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PEN
2 - 0
ALH
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Guadalmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
GUA
4 - 1
ALH
41%
22%
37%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
BNM
2 - 1
GUA
67%
17%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAN
30%
21%
49%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MRF
0 - 1
GUA
37%
21%
42%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
GUA
3 - 1
BAN
25%
20%
55%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +2 |