Peña Compadres vs Alhaurín de la Torre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
68.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peña Compadres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 3
CAS
63%
19%
19%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CDP
3 - 3
PEN
35%
23%
43%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 0
ATL
21%
23%
56%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 0
PEN
65%
19%
16%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 5
CFA
18%
21%
61%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alhaurín de la Torre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
COI
3 - 4
ALH
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ALH
1 - 0
JUV
36%
25%
40%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ATH
1 - 1
ALH
27%
23%
51%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ALH
4 - 0
CDT
51%
22%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 2
ALH
14%
20%
66%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |