Juan XXIII A vs Contestano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
21.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan XXIII A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ESP
2 - 1
JUA
58%
19%
23%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
JUA
1 - 3
FTI
52%
21%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FIL
6 - 2
JUA
81%
11%
8%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
JUA
0 - 4
IMP
38%
22%
40%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
JUA
4 - 1
FIL
17%
19%
64%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Contestano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
PLA
4 - 1
CON
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CON
2 - 4
SAL
16%
18%
66%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
PIS
32%
22%
46%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ESP
5 - 2
CON
66%
18%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CON
1 - 8
INT
30%
23%
48%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |