Juan XXIII A vs Contestano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+277%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan XXIII A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
IND
5 - 7
JUA
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
IMP
3 - 1
JUA
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
JUA
4 - 1
MOD
43%
23%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
JUA
4 - 2
PIS
51%
22%
27%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Contestano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CON
5 - 3
IMP
18%
20%
62%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
CON
57%
21%
23%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PIS
2 - 2
CON
46%
23%
32%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CON
3 - 6
FIL
19%
21%
60%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |