Juan XXIII A vs Salesiano A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
75.7%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan XXIII A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CON
3 - 2
JUA
64%
17%
19%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
JUA
0 - 3
ESP
32%
22%
47%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FTI
0 - 0
JUA
66%
17%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
JUA
1 - 7
FIL
14%
17%
69%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
IMP
3 - 0
JUA
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Salesiano A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SAL
10 - 1
PLA
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
COS
1 - 6
SAL
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
PIS
2 - 6
SAL
20%
19%
60%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SAL
3 - 0
CON
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ESP
2 - 4
SAL
38%
22%
40%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |