Juan XXIII A vs Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan XXIII A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CON
1 - 5
JUA
21%
20%
58%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
JUA
8 - 1
IND
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
JUA
0 - 0
IMP
55%
21%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MOD
2 - 4
JUA
26%
22%
52%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 3
JUA
30%
22%
48%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 6
IMP
22%
22%
56%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOD
3 - 1
ESP
40%
23%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 0
ESP
45%
23%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 4
FIL
14%
18%
68%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
INT
1 - 3
ESP
72%
16%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |