PD Castellarano vs Castel San Pietro Terme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PD Castellarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ACC
3 - 3
PDC
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
PIS
2 - 0
PDC
76%
17%
7%
|
24 | 64 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
PDC
2 - 2
ASC
32%
26%
42%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 0
PDC
82%
13%
5%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PDC
0 - 3
SAN
27%
26%
47%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Castel San Pietro Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CSP
0 - 1
PIS
14%
24%
63%
|
28 | 64 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
CSP
2 - 2
MPO
39%
26%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
CSP
67%
21%
13%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CSP
1 - 1
ACC
46%
25%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ROV
3 - 1
CSP
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |