PD Castellarano vs Castel San Pietro Terme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PD Castellarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 0
PDC
31%
26%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PDC
1 - 0
UCL
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 1
PDC
45%
25%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PDC
2 - 1
ACE
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
USR
2 - 1
PDC
30%
26%
45%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Castel San Pietro Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
CSP
0 - 2
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ABM
2 - 2
CSP
44%
26%
31%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CSP
0 - 0
ACC
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ASV
3 - 3
CSP
45%
27%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CSP
2 - 2
VIR
60%
21%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |