PD Castellarano vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
59.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PD Castellarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
PDC
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ACC
2 - 1
PDC
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PDC
2 - 0
USR
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MPO
2 - 0
PDC
45%
24%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PDC
0 - 1
ROV
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PIS
0 - 1
USR
78%
16%
7%
|
65 | 33 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ROV
0 - 0
PIS
13%
24%
63%
|
65 | 28 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PIS
4 - 2
ACC
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ROS
0 - 3
PIS
16%
24%
61%
|
65 | 27 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PIS
3 - 2
MPO
77%
17%
7%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | 0 |