PD Castellarano vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PD Castellarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ROV
2 - 1
PDC
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
ROS
2 - 1
PDC
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PDC
0 - 2
RIC
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
DPC
0 - 1
PDC
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
PDC
0 - 1
BOR
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
MEZ
61%
22%
18%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
MEZ
0 - 1
PIS
14%
23%
63%
|
31 | 63 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MEZ
0 - 1
CAR
17%
24%
60%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ROV
3 - 0
MEZ
49%
25%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MEZ
1 - 1
ACC
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |