PD Castellarano vs Calenzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PD Castellarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MEZ
1 - 0
PDC
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
PDC
3 - 0
ASV
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 1
PDC
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ABM
1 - 2
PDC
40%
25%
35%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
PDC
0 - 0
VIR
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Calenzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CLZ
0 - 0
FIO
30%
25%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ABM
2 - 0
CLZ
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CLZ
2 - 2
VIR
43%
25%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ACC
1 - 2
CLZ
48%
24%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CLZ
1 - 1
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |