PD Castellarano vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PD Castellarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
BFM
2 - 2
PDC
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VIR
3 - 0
PDC
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PDC
1 - 1
PON
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SDA
0 - 0
PDC
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PDC
0 - 5
ACC
41%
25%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
BOR
1 - 1
ACC
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
BOR
1 - 2
ROV
44%
24%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ROS
2 - 2
BOR
41%
25%
35%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
BOR
1 - 1
MPO
56%
23%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
DPC
1 - 1
BOR
38%
25%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |