PD Castellarano vs ASD Villa Verucchio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PD Castellarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
CLZ
1 - 1
PDC
28%
25%
48%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
PDC
2 - 0
MEZ
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ASV
1 - 1
PDC
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
PDC
4 - 1
FIO
35%
25%
40%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
PDC
2 - 2
ABM
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
ASD Villa Verucchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ASV
1 - 2
SAN
15%
22%
63%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ABM
2 - 1
ASV
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ASV
0 - 1
CSP
19%
24%
57%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ACC
3 - 2
ASV
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ASV
2 - 1
UCL
51%
23%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |