Ayorense vs Petrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
79.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.1%
0-2
16%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
PEN
6 - 2
AYO
77%
15%
9%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AYO
0 - 3
ATL
29%
21%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
IDE
6 - 0
AYO
86%
11%
4%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
AYO
1 - 6
UDC
7%
14%
79%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 0
AYO
87%
10%
4%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PET
6 - 1
REA
77%
15%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
PET
1 - 2
FON
63%
18%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MOI
1 - 1
PET
19%
23%
59%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
PET
3 - 2
PEN
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
PET
2 - 1
ATL
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |