Ayorense vs Balompié Alfafar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
AYO
2 - 1
UBF
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 0
AYO
28%
23%
50%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AYO
2 - 0
UDC
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ENG
3 - 3
AYO
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AYO
3 - 0
XAT
88%
9%
3%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Balompié Alfafar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 2
ALM
47%
22%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
UDC
1 - 1
BAL
31%
22%
47%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 1
ENG
43%
22%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
XAT
0 - 4
BAL
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
5 - 2
LLO
36%
23%
41%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |