PBAPP vs PDRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PBAPP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
PBA
0 - 0
NEG
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
FEL
1 - 1
PBA
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
PBA
2 - 0
CEB
80%
14%
7%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 0
PBA
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
PBA
5 - 1
SRI
62%
19%
18%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
PDRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
PDR
5 - 1
PUL
56%
22%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
JOH
1 - 3
PDR
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
PDR
1 - 0
KUA
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2013 |
KUA
1 - 0
PDR
31%
23%
46%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
PDR
2 - 3
PER
73%
15%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |