Pavlikeni vs Lokomotiv Mezdra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
5º
11º
5º
60
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
69% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
56% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
46.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
87% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavlikeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAV
0 - 0
BTL
61%
19%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
JUV
3 - 1
PAV
22%
22%
56%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PAV
2 - 1
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIH
2 - 0
PAV
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PAV
2 - 2
SEV
27%
26%
47%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Mezdra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 0
LOK
20%
22%
58%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BTL
0 - 0
LOK
18%
19%
63%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LOK
2 - 0
LOD
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 3
LOK
21%
21%
58%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LOK
3 - 0
OFK
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |