Pavlikeni vs Lokomotiv Mezdra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
74.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavlikeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ETA
5 - 0
PAV
80%
14%
7%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PAV
3 - 2
BOT
10%
19%
72%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | +5 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
BDI
1 - 0
PAV
81%
13%
6%
|
13 | 58 | 45 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
GIG
2 - 1
PAV
77%
15%
9%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
PAV
0 - 3
LOK
16%
22%
62%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Mezdra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LOK
1 - 0
LOK
84%
12%
5%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
OFK
1 - 2
LOK
10%
17%
72%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
LOK
2 - 1
SPA
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
LOK
0 - 3
GIG
84%
11%
5%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
DUS
3 - 0
LOK
18%
21%
61%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |