Pavlikeni vs Botev Lukovit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
63.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavlikeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
GIG
1 - 3
PAV
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PAV
1 - 3
SIT
16%
19%
66%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
VID
6 - 0
PAV
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
PAV
0 - 4
LOK
9%
17%
75%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ETA
5 - 0
PAV
80%
14%
7%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Botev Lukovit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 3
LOK
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
OFK
2 - 4
BOT
28%
23%
48%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
SPA
17%
21%
62%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +3 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
TRY
0 - 6
BOT
17%
21%
61%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GIG
1 - 1
BOT
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |