Pavlikeni vs Boruna Tsareva livada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
5º
11º
5º
23
11º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
93.5% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
69% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
56% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
46.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
87% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavlikeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
JUV
3 - 1
PAV
22%
22%
56%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PAV
2 - 1
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIH
2 - 0
PAV
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PAV
2 - 2
SEV
27%
26%
47%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PAV
1 - 0
BDI
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Boruna Tsareva livada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BTL
0 - 0
LOK
18%
19%
63%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BTL
5 - 0
JUV
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
BTL
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BTL
4 - 1
VIH
9%
15%
75%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +6 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BTL
0 - 3
SEV
11%
16%
73%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -1 |