Paullese vs Vignate Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paullese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TRI
2 - 3
PAU
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 1
SET
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
COD
1 - 1
PAU
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PAU
3 - 0
OFF
69%
18%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vignate Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIG
3 - 1
SPO
79%
14%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SOR
0 - 1
VIG
76%
15%
10%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
4 - 1
VIG
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |