Paulista vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
60.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 0
PAU
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
PAU
0 - 1
PRI
21%
28%
51%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
PAU
4 - 2
SAO
23%
26%
51%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
GSP
2 - 1
PAU
20%
21%
59%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 0
COL
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
XVD
1 - 1
PRI
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
GSP
1 - 2
XVD
13%
19%
68%
|
60 | 21 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
XVD
3 - 1
RIO
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
SAO
0 - 0
XVD
30%
27%
44%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
CAP
2 - 1
XVD
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |