Paulista vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAU
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
PAU
1 - 2
ITU
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2004 |
AVA
2 - 1
PAU
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
PAU
3 - 3
CRB
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2004 |
CAX
2 - 2
PAU
31%
26%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2004 |
NAU
1 - 0
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2004 |
NAU
2 - 1
AME
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2004 |
CAX
2 - 3
NAU
29%
24%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
NAU
2 - 0
SAO
73%
16%
10%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
NAU
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |