Paulista vs Mirassol FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
PAU
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PAU
2 - 2
SAO
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
PAU
2 - 0
ATL
44%
25%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VOT
1 - 0
PAU
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
TAU
1 - 1
PAU
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
MIR
2 - 1
BRA
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
VOT
1 - 2
MIR
17%
20%
64%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 0
GUA
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 0
POR
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
MIR
14%
19%
67%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |