Paulista vs Manthiqueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 0
PAU
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
PRI
2 - 1
PAU
27%
29%
44%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PAU
2 - 1
BEB
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
AAI
0 - 2
PAU
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
PAU
0 - 2
AAI
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Manthiqueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
MAN
69%
20%
12%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 0
RIO
16%
23%
61%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 2
SAO
17%
24%
60%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
MAN
76%
17%
7%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 1
NOR
19%
24%
57%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | +2 |