Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 1-3
Paulista vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FRI
0 - 0
PAU
29%
27%
43%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PAU
0 - 0
TUP
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
PAU
1 - 1
MAD
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
MAD
1 - 2
PAU
28%
27%
46%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
TUP
1 - 0
PAU
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FLU
2 - 1
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
RIO
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
ALA
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 2
MAC
35%
26%
38%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 1
MAC
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |