Paulista vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
CRI
1 - 2
PAU
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
PAU
1 - 1
CAX
69%
19%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
PAU
32%
27%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2005 |
PAU
1 - 0
ANA
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 2
PAU
38%
26%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2005 |
GAM
2 - 1
GUA
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
CRB
0 - 2
GAM
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2005 |
GAM
1 - 1
VIT
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2005 |
GAM
2 - 3
AVA
43%
26%
32%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2005 |
REC
1 - 0
GAM
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |