Paulista vs Flamengo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
VEL
1 - 0
PAU
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
PAU
1 - 1
LIN
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
DES
2 - 3
PAU
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PAU
2 - 3
OLI
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
BAT
2 - 0
PAU
41%
27%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
FLA
1 - 1
AMP
50%
23%
28%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 3
FLA
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
FLA
1 - 0
BFC
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 1
FLA
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AMP
1 - 0
FLA
36%
23%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |