Paulista vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 1
PAU
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
PAU
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
PAU
1 - 2
SAO
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
PAU
3 - 1
CAT
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 2
PAU
33%
26%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 1
MOG
37%
25%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
POR
3 - 0
BOT
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 4
SAN
12%
20%
68%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MIR
3 - 0
BOT
39%
25%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |